Darren Waller, 2020 Fantasy Football Bust

In 2019, Razzball as a site fell in love with Darren Waller. It started before he became a player to watch on Hard Knocks in August, but the love only intensified. DonkeyTeeth was one of his biggest proponents in 2019 and he and I probably owned him in every league that we weren’t facing each other in. 

DonkeyTeeth’s love for Darren Waller has carried over into 2020 and we discussed it earlier this week in our football group chat. We even decided to put our money where our mouth is and made a gentleman’s wager. For the price of a Rotowear t-shirt, I took the side of Mark Andrews scoring more fantasy points than Darren Waller in 2020. I’m going to take it a step further. I don’t believe that Darren Waller will live up anywhere near his draft price in 2020. 

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IDP Leagues: DB Draft Strategy

Defensive backs are like the kickers of IDP leagues.  There really aren’t too many players that need to be picked early in your drafts.  They are also like tight ends after the first 5 or so where streaming on a week to week basis can be the way to go based on the weekly matchup.  Outside of some top end safeties who rack up tackles, guessing who will finish near the top of DB scoring is a crap shoot.  In tackle heavy scoring systems it’s a little easier to go after safeties, but in big play leagues, trying to predict who will garner interceptions, passes defensed, and sacks from this position is tough. A typical drafting strategy for DBs in IDP leagues is to wait and here’s why.

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IDP Rankings for 2020 Fantasy Football: Top 25 Defensive Linemen

In the trenches of their team defenses, linemen can be the key to your IDP draft. Until I’m blue in the face I will say it over and over again: make sure you know your scoring system. Do you want a lineman with a high sack upside or someone in the interior who will produce tackles? Does your league separate out DE/Edge and DT? Does the hosting site have TJ Watt and Shaq Barrett as linebackers or Edge rusher? It’s simple to state that you need to know your rules but you’d be surprised at the number of fantasy players that don’t. Another aspect of drafting IDPs is how does their scoring compare to their offensive counterparts? This will help you decide when to jump into the defensive side of your draft. For those starting out with IDP, I’ll be covering draft strategies in upcoming articles and you’ll find out why you may want to prioritize this position over the more popular linebackers.

My rankings are based on a balanced scoring system (3:1 ratio of big play points to tackle points). If your league leans big play or tackle heavy, then some adjustments may be necessary.  

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2020 NFL Rookie Preview: Bryan Edwards

Bryan Edwards – University of South Carolina – 6’3” 212 lbs. – November 13, 1998 (21 years old)

• Tall receiver who plays bigger than his 212 weigh in. 
• Likely goes higher in the draft if he doesn’t break his foot while preparing for the combine. 
• Doesn’t waste time, gets off the line quickly.
• Good breaks inside and out.
• Seems comfortable with press coverage.
• Uses hard jab step to throw off DBs at the line. Keeps them guessing throughout the game.
• Does a good job of selling the route and timing his breaks. 
• Has the long speed to maintain separation.

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Fantasy Football Podcast: Top 250 Dynasty Rankings Review

B_Don and Donkey Teeth are joined by Al_FF_Red, formerly known as Boof, to go over Donkey’s dynasty rankings. DT walks us through his ranking process and we ask him about the general construction of his top 20. 

We dig into his Joe Mixon ranking/hatred as both B_Don and Boof are all in on Mixy. We then ask DT about his top 20 ranking of Julio Jones and if he still belongs in that range at this point in his career. B_Don then asks Boof and DT to explain the Deebo Samuel infatuation.

As the guys wrap up, we look at some late ranked players in Alshon, Kyle Rudolph, Jalen Hurts, Nick Foles, and Darren Fells (who B_Don only brings up to plug Kahale Warring).

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RazzBowl II: Judgement Day

Year one of the RazzBowl was a great success. Very nice. Sexy time. Wawaweewa. Sorry, I had Borat playing in the background while working on my 2020 fantasy football rankings.

So last year we were graced with a loaded field for the inaugural RazzBowl better ball tournament. It was a real who’s who of the fantasy football world, including Heath Cummings, Jake Ciely, Andy Behrens, Brad Evans, Michael Salfino, my cousin Goncharius with the lazy eye who claims he’s the greatest fantasy footballer of all-time, plus many more of the industry’s biggest guns. But it was Mike Beers of RotoViz who took us all to Kazakhstan, hoisting the RazzBowl Cup with the help of his three-headed-monster backfield of Christian McCaffrey, Dalvin Cook and Derrick Henry. 

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Raheem Mostert, 2020 Fantasy Football Target

The early part of the middle rounds in fantasy football drafts create a lot of strategy separation in my experience. In some cases you have league mates that are itching to get their starting quarterbacks and tight ends. Other league mates are keeping an eye on their ESPN draft rankings sheets and taking the highest player available trying to grab value. There are fantasy players in the mid rounds that start making bold high upside reaches that might end up being dropped by week 5 when they don’t get the snaps or targets. And then there are those who wisely spend their 6th round pick on Raheem Mostert.

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Top 20 for 2020 Fantasy Football

I watched The Match on Sunday featuring Tiger Woods and Peyton Manning battling against Phil Mickelson and Tom Brady. The echo chamber said Tiger had a huge advantage playing at his home course. The echo chamber said Tiger wouldn’t lose two matches in a row to Phil. Turns out the echo chamber sometimes echos for good reason, as the Tiger/Manning duo held off a later charge from Phil and Brady to hoist the Pandemic Cup. But the echo chamber isn’t always right, especially in fantasy football. Remember last years mad chants of David Johnson and Le’Veon Bell as surefire first rounders? And JuJu and Odell as top 15 draft picks? Well, I’ve stepped outside the echo chamber this year and into my very own padded room to compile my 2020 fantasy football rankings. Over the weekend I gave you my overall top 10 for 2020 fantasy football which were crazy as a pack of unicycle-riding-gorillas. But the only echos used were the friendly, very sane, voices inside my head. Anyway, here’s my top 20 for 2020 PPR fantasy football:

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Fantasy Football: Top 10 Devy Tight Ends

I have previously outlined some important college stats that help project NFL success here. In short, similar to wide receivers, a high market share is a good indicator of future fantasy relevance. However, tight ends do not have to reach the same level of market share dominance with 15% being a fine number.

Other things that are important are career yards over 1200, low forty times and weight adjusted speed scores over 107. Unfortunately at this stage in their development, we don’t know true forty times for these tight ends.

I have used age-adjusted production to identify promising candidates and will refine the rankings as we get more information leading up to the 2021 NFL draft. This is the initial devy list, but follow along as players rise and fall and new targets breakout during the 2020 season! 

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IDP Rankings for 2020 Fantasy Football: Top 50 Linebackers

I know you’ve been on the edge of your seats waiting for the second half of my linebacker rankings to drop.  Well probably not but since you probably have to draft more than 2 in 12 team leagues, this should be useful.  We see the debut of three rookies for those who asked “Where are the rookies?” in response to my top 25.  We have three tiers here in the second 25 because, well, the differences between these players start to get smaller.  

Remember in leagues where you are starting two linebackers, these are all bench guys/bye week fillers if you were smart enough to take two of my top 25.  Here you want to look for upside if you took players towards the end of the top 25 or you just don’t agree with my rankings. If you took Darius Leonard, look for a guy who has a great matchup in week 7 because, well, you’re not benching him. Ever.  Or you can just go with the boring guy like Matt Milano who will give you tackles week in and week out.

 

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