Top 100 Overall IDP Rankings for 2021 Fantasy Football

Well folks, preseason games have come and gone, and we are inching ever closer to Week 1 of the NFL regular season. Even though these exhibition games don’t count toward teams’ win-loss records, they are far from meaningless for fantasy football managers. New coaches, new players, and a new year present a great deal of uncertainty for IDP rosters, but preseason games can give us a glimpse of what to expect for the next 18 weeks. Keeping a close eye on which players are playing, and perhaps more importantly who isn’t playing in preseason games allows us the opportunity to piece together how defensive coordinators plan to use our IDPs and helps us deduce just how large of a role they’ll have.

“But wait, I haven’t been watching these glorified practices! What am I supposed to do now?!” Don’t worry, my friend, I knew you’d be busy enjoying the last few weeks of summer, so I went ahead and paid all the attention for you! Take a look at my Top 100 Overall IDP Rankings below, and read further to see my biggest winner and biggest loser from Preseason 2021.

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Breakouts & Band Aids

One of the greatest cinematic moments of my life occurred in a virtually empty movie theater on a Saturday morning, September 23, 2000. We all have these moments in our lives where we sort of wish we could look back and maybe watch ourselves for just a moment. I would give a nice sum of money to be able to go back and watch The Joey Wright see Almost Famous for the first time. Almost twenty-one years later to the date it, unapologetically, remains my favorite film. The one thing standing out upon my first viewing was our introduction to one Miss Penny Lane. A young magazine reporter is standing at the artist entrance to an arena, hoping to land an interview with Black Sabbath. He gets into a conversation with a rather fun looking young lady when he starts to insinuate, she may just be a groupie and then it happens. Floating onto the screen almost like a ghost, we first lay our eyes upon Penny Lane, portrayed by Kate Hudson.

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The Final Countdown

Friends, family, friends and family…draft time! You’ve seen Donkey Teeth and BDon show off their Friends and Family Drafts, and today, I want to kick off our heavy draft week with a look at how I drafted a .5 PPR Superflex team with the crew over at FTN. There are some notable names in this draft, and a lot of them come from betting backgrounds. In my opinion, betting approaches to fantasy tend to focus on value; you’ll hear a lot about “paying the price” for a player. Gamblers may like a player, but they won’t draft a player at too high of a value. For example, I hear many in the gambling community encouraging their audience to not draft Gus Edwards right now because previous drafters acquired Gus Edwards at a far more affordable draft cost. Of course, that advice applies more to Underdog drafts than Yahoo dogs. Meanwhile, I personally look at the team that I need to create — if I need a player to finish my vision, I’ll take that player regardless of where I am in the draft (within reason). So, without further ado, here’s my team that I drafted from the 5 spot, complete with commentary below. 

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Can Tom Brady be Historic?

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I’ve drafted Tom Brady in plenty of drafts this season, thumbing my nose at the sexy Konami code options. He threw for 4,633 yards and 40 touchdowns last season, and that was with the offense not truly humming until after the Week 13 bye. The weapons are there with Mike Evans, Chris Godwin, Antonio Brown, Rob Gronkowski, and OJ Howard. There’s a familiarity entering Year 2 of the Brady era and the offense has had a full offseason to get more comfortable. I am expecting big things but I never thought about the season being one of epic, historic proportions until recently. I’ve heard more than a few people talking about it so I wanted to dig in to see if it’s something that could happen. 

What more does Brady have to accomplish? He has……

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Deep League Thoughts for 2021 Fantasy Football

….And You Are?

I waste some of my time researching football stuff. Some of the football stuff I research is helpful in fantasy football. I’m willing to share some of that information with you here.

The following players are good for deep leagues and dynasty leagues:

 

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Fantasy Points Per Reception Analysis Tight End Edition – Part 2

Before you go any further if you haven’t read the previous articles from this series, we recommend you do so. You can find some of those articles here:

Points Per Rush Attempt Analysis for 2021 Fantasy Football

Fantasy Points Per Reception – Running Back Edition Part 2

 Fantasy Points Per Reception – Wide Receiver Edition Part 2

In this article we break down Fantasy Points Per Reception or FPPR regression candidates from 2020 at the tight end position. The goal of this article is to help you identify players who you should potentially fade at their ADP in 2021.

A couple things you might want to know first. The league average FPPR for tight ends over the past 10 seasons is 1.93. For a tight end to see one point less per game they need to average three receptions per game and see an increase in FPPR of .35.

 

2021 FPPR Regression Candidates

 

Player: Travis Kelce

2020 FPPR: 2.48

Career avg. FPPR: 2.26

FPPR Variance: 10%

 

2020 PPG	2021 Projected PPG
17.3	15.8

 

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Which Back Are You Backing? – Part 2

We talked last week about how the role of the every-down workhorse running back in today’s NFL has pretty much disappeared. After your Christian McCaffrey, Dalvin Cook and Derrick Henry, who are top tier backs that carry the bulk of their backfield’s workload, most of the other backs have some shared workload. After you get through the first few rounds in your draft, you land in that questionable territory at running back. This is the point where there are many backs who are going to be in a split backfield situation of some sort. This two-part series is made to look at some of those backfields and make heads or tails of them. In Part 1, we looked at Tampa Bay, Arizona and Las Vegas. Today, we will examine a few more muddy situations and I will answer the question of “Which back are you backing?”

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Fantasy Football Podcast: Would You Rather?

B_Don and Donkey Teeth are back as we prep for the 2 big draft weekends. We start by touching on the Travis Etienne injury by discussing what it means for his dynasty value, and James Robinson’s redraft ranking. After some less than ideal results, we discuss if there should be any concerns over rookie phenom, Ja’Marr Chase. 

We get you ready for draft weekend with a run of, would you rather? CIN WRs, ARI RBs, SF RBs, TB WRs, and some of the other more confusing situations. 

We are also filling the podcast redraft league. It will be an auction, slow or fast depends on when we start. There will be a $50 buy in and a spot in next year’s RazzBowl up for grabs! Message @RazzBDon or @DonkeyTeeth87 if you want in. 

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Fantasy Points Per Reception Analysis Tight End Edition – Part 1

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Before you go any further if you haven’t read the previous articles from this series, we recommend you do so. You can find some of those articles here:

Points Per Rush Attempt Analysis for 2021 Fantasy Football

Fantasy Points Per Reception – Running Back Edition Part 1

 Fantasy Points Per Reception – Wide Receiver Edition Part 1

In this article we break down Fantasy Points Per Reception or FPPR positive regression candidates from 2020 at the tight end position. The goal of this article is to help you identify players who will potentially outkick their ADP in 2021.

A couple things you might want to know first. The league average FPPR for tight ends over the past 10 seasons is 1.93. For a tight end to see one point more per game they need to average three receptions per game and see an increase in FPPR of .35.

 

2021 FPPR Positive Regression Candidates

Player: Gerald Everett

2020 FPPR: 1.66

Career avg. FPPR: 2.10

FPPR Variance: -21%

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Employ the Services of Jakobi Meyers and the Wheels of the Gus Go Round and Round

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When I was younger, I was into brand-name frivolity and what amounted to living my life for other people. I was fortunate to have come from a middle-class family and been able to have well-paying jobs. While I did enjoy some five-finger discounts from time to time, most of the time, I’d spend casually since I had the resources. After I matured and met my wife…Or was it the other way around? Anyways, at some point, I did both and have become more frugal and price-conscious over the years. Having two kids accelerates the process for sure. My wife is always looking for deals and is really good from that perspective. Is it because she grew up poor or is it in her Chinese blood? Probably both but it’s rubbed off on me, especially on the fantasy streets. I love getting production at a discount and two players who stood out to me when scrolling through the NFFC ADP data were Jakobi Meyers and Gus Edwards. Let’s break it down.

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