Recapping Razzball’s Bold 2021 Fantasy Football Predictions

It’s that awkward time of the year where us football writers scatter to distant lands, such as “baseball land” and “Branson.” But before I head out for the spring/summer, I wanted to do one of those montage scenes where we check out all of our favorite Razzball writer’s bold preseason predictions…and find out who is the boldest and who is the most accurate! 

For reference, here’s the original article, where our writer Skorish asked us to try and make bold yet reasonably possible predictions about the year. 

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Atlanta Falcons Buy/Sell for 2022 Fantasy Football: Pitts and Patts

A lot of things, and I mean A LOT of things, went wrong for the Falcons in 2021. They were supposed to have one of the more dynamic aerial attacks in the league with Calvin Ridley and rookie mega-man Kyle Pitts leading the way. Matt Ryan led the world in pass attempts in 2020 and the Falcons were top-10 in passing rate per game. But when the dust settled on the season, all that offensive hope vanished into the humid Georgia air. 

The Falcons may have gone 7-10, but you wouldn’t know it to look at them. I swear to you, the season highlight video from their own team website prominently features a game where they needed a last second field goal to beat the freaking New York Giants:

With Calvin Ridley missing in action, Pitts hauling in just one score, and Mike Davis off somewhere trying to bribe other teams to sign free agent Cordarrelle Patterson, determining a buy and a sell for this sad sack franchise is a tall order. But I think I’ve cracked it. Let’s get into it for 2022.

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Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings, 2022 Running Backs

The position that has undergone the most upheaval in fantasy football is running back. I have watched the RB position go from 25 three-down RBs to 15 three-down backs, and now we’re down to what, five? Using your first two fantasy draft picks on RBs is no longer an automatic gambit. Whether we call it a “timeshare,” “committee,” or “split” backfield, more RBs are getting involved. With this development in mind, I employ a scattershot approach to the position. Use the net and leave the pole at home when fishing for runningbacks. I will attempt to accommodate my recommended approach by providing a list of 120 runningbacks by rank. Let us begin with the top 40. If you’re curious about descriptions for the first 17 runningbacks, check out these articles ( Top 10 for 2022Top 25 2022Top 40 2022).

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Arizona Cardinals Buy/Sell for 2022 Fantasy Football: All About the Benjamins

It’s the lasting, final image of the Arizona Cardinals’ season. The one fans have to live with for eight months. Kyler Murray throwing an interception that was so bad it drove The Rock to the bottle.

Please, blog, may I have some more?

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Top 50 Quarterbacks for 2022 Fantasy Football Dynasty Leagues

The most logical place to begin my position player ranking is the premier position in the NFL, Quarterback. I have already listed the six players from this position group, if you are interested in reading my thoughts on any of those players, I refer you to my top 10 for 2022 fantasy football dynasty leagues, top 25 for 2022 fantasy football dynasty leagues, top 40 for 2022 fantasy football dynasty leagues. Please, blog, may I have some more?

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Top 40 for 2022 Fantasy Football Dynasty Leagues

We have finally reached the end of the slow burn that was the 2021 NFL season, the longest in history, but I am stoked for the playoffs. With the regular season in the books, It’s an opportune time to finish up the top 40. I will be putting out player ranking by position in the weeks to come. Players ranked 26-40 offer a great collection of talent, and a few of these stars will reach the top 25 next season, so this is a good group to get to know.

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Annual Salary Incentives and The Impact on Week 18 Player Props

In this article we are going to review annual player incentives to see if we can use this information to help us with potential player props and DFS plays for Week 18. First, a plyer incentive is something embedded into a player’s contract that allows them to make more money if the hit a certain production threshold. For example, if a player hits 100 receptions in a season they earn $100,000 as an incentive for hitting that benchmark.

In this article we identified 7 players and 14 incentives that can be reached in Week 18. Below you will find a breakdown of how each section will be broken out for each player. Later in the article we will discuss each incentive and some background on the player’s historical stats to see how obtainable the incentive will be in Week 18.

Player – This represents the name of the person who is up for the incentive

Incentive – This represents what type of bonus is laid out in the contract i.e. receptions, yards or TDs to earn that incentive for the season

Current Number – This represents where the player currently stands on the season in that statistic

Number Needed – This represents the number that needs to be obtained by that player to earn the incentive for the 2021 season. The number in the () represents the number needed in Week 18 if applicable

Incentive Payout – This represents the dollar figure that player will earn for hitting that incentive in 2021

Recommended Player Prop – This represents the type of player prop we recommend you bet based on the incentive needed by that player. Please note, other props can be bet based on the information.

Player Props – This section represents what the actual player prop is on each site (DK = Draft Kings, FD = FanDuel and PP = Prize Picks)

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Weekly Rankings for 2021 Fantasy Football: Faux Championship Week 18

Each week I’ll be spending countless hours flipping coins in order to determine an order for my weekly rankings which will be published bright and early each Thursday morning. It’s an elaborate round-robin coinflipping system for each position. Wide receivers alone take me a full Monday worth of coin flips. And I’m currently in the process of filing for workers comp due to carpal tunnel. But it’s well worth it, knowing that you, the loyal Razzball reader, appreciate my pain and sweat. Just so you know you can trust me, here’s how my coin flipping system stacked up against all of the other 149 industry analysts competing against me in the 2020 Fantasy Pros Weekly Ranking Competition:

Anyway, here’s my week 18 rankings for half PPR 2021 fantasy football that will be frequently updated by coin flip up until kickoff:

*Don’t forget to purchase our tools subscription (we have a FREE 3-day trial!!!) for detailed weekly projections, snap counts and target share data. You won’t regret it!

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Air Yards Report, 2021 Season: Balls in the Air, Shirts on the Ground

With one simple line of prediction, all the weeks of Air Yards analysis went down the crapper. Here it is, from the Week 16 Air Yards report:

“Antonio Brown might make the short list of 2021 playoff heroes after this week is over.”

Yikes. As one commenter pointed out, “that prediction did not wear well.” Brown also did not wear his jersey well, dropping it on the ground, and giving a farewell tour around the stadium just after halftime. At that point, his opportunity to help your fantasy team or his real life football team in the playoffs disappeared faster than the cannon smoke from Raymond James Stadium.

But Air Yards, like many other advanced stats, tells us what could (or perhaps should) happen given similar circumstances over time. Brown smashed in Week 16 with no Chris Godwin or Mike Evans. Given similar circumstances plus playing-time incentives in Week 17, we had every reason to believe Brown would manhandle the Jets. It was the process and in the process we trust. 

Until a potential mid-game retirement variable is introduced in to the Air Yards model, we will just have to rely on the data we have. What can 2021 air yards teach us for 2022? Let’s find out. 

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Fantasy Football Podcast: Can You Trust Your League Winners?

In a year where league champs may have started more than 1 player that they grabbed from the wire just to have a starter, Donkey Teeth and I discuss a bunch of players that won leagues and whether we believe in them for 2022. We start with the RBs and look at guys such as: Rashaad Penny, D’onta Foreman, and Darrel Williams to explore whether we believe they are worth acquiring this off-season. On the higher end, we look at Devin Singletary, A.J. Dillon, and Elijah Mitchell. 

We move on to the WRs and explore end of season stud Amon-Ra St. Brown, and Bears favorite, Darnell Mooney. Then, we explore some less heralded WRs that popped up at the end of the year. We only discuss one tight end’s end of year performance, and that’s the talented, but underperforming, Noah Fant.

Before we head out, B_Don breaks down some numbers from the end of season finishes at each position. Then, we explain how those positional point distributions affect our draft strategy. 

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